Tennis Prediction Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fery: Wimbledon

• The match-up seems really complicated today for the Briton.

• Arthur Fery is clearly playing the tennis of his life since the start of this fortnight, and what he is achieving at Wimbledon is totally unreal.

• He came back from very far against Zizou Bergs, and then again against Grigor Dimitrov, before taking advantage of Cobolli's non-match to reach the semi-finals of his tournament, at home, in front of his audience.

• Huge respect for his run but I really feel that the hurdle is becoming much too high today.

• On the other side, Alexander Zverev hasn't stopped winning since his title at Roland Garros, the German has just signed another huge victory against Taylor Fritz, and he is now chaining successes in Grand Slams with quite crazy confidence.

• I clearly didn't expect to see him at this level on grass.

• When you look at his pedigree on the surface, the sequence he has gone through in recent weeks and the mental intensity of a title at Roland Garros, it's quite impressive.

• But the fact is that he is still there, still solid, still in control.

• And under these playing conditions, I have a hard time seeing Fery manage to really disturb him in the long run.

• The statistics since the start of the tournament also go in this direction.

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

• 12h54 spent on the courts
• 81% of points won behind 1st serve
• 58% of points won behind 2nd serve
• 4.2 break points faced per match

🇬🇧 Arthur Fery

• 16h26 spent on the courts
• 72% of points won behind 1st serve
• 54% of points won behind 2nd serve
• 7.2 break points faced per match

• The gap is quite telling, Zverev protects his serve much better, wins more free points and gets himself in much less danger on his service games.

• And that's precisely what interests me for this -1.5 sets.

• I expect to see the German control a large part of the match behind his first serve, Fery is likely to be forced to play many more points under pressure, with very little margin on his own serves.

• The Briton has a lot of qualities, he varies well, he fights on every point and the public can obviously help him in the hot moments but I'm not sure he has the necessary power to really push Zverev back and prevent him from settling behind his baseline.

• The German should have more time, more comfort, and above all many more solutions in the exchange.

• If Zverev remains in the continuity of what he has shown since the start of the tournament, I have a hard time seeing him get himself in danger here.