US Open · Hard
Stan Wawrinka Prediction: US Open
Our Pick
Stan Wawrinka
#125
Tournament:
US Open
Surface:
Hard
Our Bet
Confidence Level
70%
Good Confidence
Bet Details
1u
ML Stan Wawrinka
Verified Track Record
+2.7%
ROI / Yield
55%
Win Rate
2.25
Avg. Odds
5,057
Verified Bets
Complete Analysis
- Look at Daniel Mérida's hunting log this month: Marin Cilic 3-6 6-1 6-1. Zizou Bergs 6-3 6-2. Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-1, the same Griekspoor who had just eliminated Zverev.
- And Alex Michelsen in three sets. The Spaniard is 21 years old, he entered the top 100 in May and he hasn't stopped climbing since.
- On the other hand, Marton Fucsovics hasn't won a match on hard courts this season. He retired against Terence Atmane in Cincinnati, leading 3-1, and he took a 6-1 6-2 loss against Corentin Moutet in Montreal. His last two wins date back to the Wimbledon grass.
- Fucsovics has always lived on his serve. The problem is that Mérida has just dismantled Griekspoor's serve in two sets.
- Second pick, and this is the one I like the most: Stan Wawrinka is 41 years old and he's playing his last season.
- Less than two months ago, in the first round of Wimbledon, he took Matteo Berrettini to a tiebreaker in four sets. Four sets, four tiebreakers, 4 hours and 20 minutes of play.
- He even took the first set. And he had 6 set points in the next tiebreaker, lost 18-16.
- Berrettini, on the other hand, isn't winning much lately. Beaten by Jiri Lehecka in Cincinnati, by Mariano Navone in Montreal, by Grigor Dimitrov in 5 sets at Wimbledon.
- He's a player of peaks: when his serve is there he's untouchable, and when it's not, he gives away sets.
- Over three winning sets, Wawrinka will surely have the opportunities to grab one. The Swiss' one-handed backhand won this tournament in 2016. There's enough left in the tank for one set.
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