Los Cabos · Hard
Tennis Prediction Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov: Los Cabos
Our Pick
Cameron Norrie
#39
Denis Shapovalov
#68
Tournament:
Los Cabos
Surface:
Hard
Our Bet
Confidence Level
70%
Good Confidence
Bet Details
0.75u
ML Cameron Norrie
@ 1.77
Best Odds
1.77 BwinVerified Track Record
+2.7%
ROI / Yield
55%
Win Rate
2.25
Avg. Odds
4,901
Verified Bets
Complete Analysis
Norrie ML1.770.75u
- I have to start with what should make me run away. Los Cabos is the place in the world where Denis Shapovalov plays his best tennis: defending champion, 7 consecutive wins on these courts, a tournament that repairs him every summer.
- I'm still going to bet against him, because Cameron Norrie's week is undisputed. 3 matches, 3 wins in 2 sets, 14 games dropped in total.
- His quarterfinal is even enough to raise eyebrows: 6-1, 6-0 against Bernard Tomic, that is, against the one who had eliminated Karen Khachanov two days earlier. An hour of tennis, not a moment of doubt.
- The match-up doesn't bother me either. The Canadian lives off free points and sequences where everything goes in, except that he's falling on the best returner in the draw tonight, someone whose job is exactly to lengthen the points the other wants to shorten.
- There's also the schedule. Shapovalov is attacking his 4th match in 4 days when the Briton has had an extra day of rest and 10 fewer games in his legs since the start of the tournament. In the semifinals, it's not seen in the warm-up, it's seen in the ends of sets.
- Respect for the Canadian's season nonetheless: it's been tough, and coming back to qualify for the last four where he lifted a trophy says something solid about his head.
- The market has made this match a coin flip. The tennis of the week, however, is not, and I see the Briton wearing down his opponent from the back of the court until the legs give way before the arm.
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Match Result
Prediction Lost ✗
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