Tennis Prediction Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fils: Cincinnati

🇺🇸 Cincinnati

• Look at what the market has offered on Flavio Cobolli this week: 2.06 against Blockx, he wins. 3.65 against Rafael Jodar, the hottest player on the circuit, he wins. 2.74 against Tommy Paul in front of his home crowd, he wins. Three times given as the loser, three times the winner.

• And it continues: he opened at 3.50, the markets give Cobolli the same chances as Tirante to beat Arthur Fils, and that's what bothers me again here.

• The 4 matches of the Italian ended with 6, 2, 2 and 1 game difference. His last defeat to date, against Hanfmann in Montreal, was 2 games. This man does not produce big gaps, in any direction. He even took a 2-6 against Paul and a 4-6 against Jodar without the match slipping away from him.

• Beware, however, Arthur Fils has won his 4 matches this week by 6, 7, 5 and 7 games, never less than 5. And yesterday, I played exactly this idea on Tirante, with the same words: Fils swept him 6-3 6-2, with the Argentine totally absent after the first 6 games of the match.

• What changes today is the opponent: Tirante was in his 5th match in 9 days, Cobolli has just eliminated Jodar and Paul one after the other, and when the Italian is launched in this way, he is often difficult to apprehend.