Tennis Prediction Gaël Monfils vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: US Open

🇺🇸 #USOpen

• Tonight, Gaël Monfils celebrates his 40th birthday. In the night session in New York, on the court where he played a semi-final in 2016, for the last US Open of his career.

• He's there thanks to the invitation the French Federation gave him because he's retiring at the end of the year.

• The Flushing crowd will give him something no one else will have tonight.

• And Monfils, in those moments, starts strong.

• On August 13 against Rinky Hijikata, he wins the first set 6-2. Then he loses the next two. On August 6 against Learner Tien, he wins a set 6-0. Then he loses the third.

• In his last two defeats, he took a set. Each time.

• Now the number that decides the rest: since June 1st, Monfils has played 3 matches. 8 sets in three months, which is very little.

• In contrast, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has played 27 on the same period, and he's 18 years younger.

• Vallejo is no mere figurant either. He beat Valentin Vacherot 6-3 6-3 in August, as well as Pablo Carreno-Busta. And he took a set from Tommy Paul.

• A 40-year-old player with 3 matches in his legs can produce a very high level set in front of this crowd. He can't produce three.

• However, the risk exists: Monfils can also collapse right away. And Vallejo just took a 6-2 6-0 loss against Van de Zandschulp.

• This bet requires everything to happen in the right order but at 5.80, I want to give it a try!