Tennis Prediction Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli: Roland Garros

🇫🇷 #RolandGarros

🇩🇪 Zverev -1.5 sets · 1.51 | 0.65u

• This may finally be the right time for the German, after so many years chasing his first Grand Slam title, Alexander Zverev will play the fourth major final of his career and already the second on the Parisian clay.

• This time, the context seems hardly more favourable, there is no more Carlos Alcaraz, no more Jannik Sinner, no more Novak Djokovic, and above all Zverev arrives in the final with a level of play that has been constantly impressive since the start of the fortnight.

• On the other hand, Flavio Cobolli is having the tournament of his life, his run is exceptional and he fully deserves his place in the final.

• But he will discover something totally new today: a first Grand Slam final and this detail may seem trivial, but it often makes a huge difference.

• We have already seen many players arrive in the final completely liberated before being caught up by the event when they step onto the court. Emotional management, pressure, expectations and the stakes then become as important as the level of tennis itself.

• And on this point, the advantage is clearly on the German's side.

• The two players also know each other very well and have a great deal of respect for each other. The H2H also tilts in Zverev's favour, as he leads 3-1 in their confrontations.

• And honestly, I have a hard time finding many arguments in favour of the Italian in this particular matchup.

• If we look at the statistics of the two players since the start of the tournament:

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

• 14h43 spent on the courts
• 75% of points won behind his first serve
• 66% of points won behind his second serve
• 3.3 break points faced per match

🇮🇹 Flavio Cobolli

• 13h01 spent on the courts
• 76% of points won behind his first serve
• 58% of points won behind his second serve
• 6.1 break points faced per match

• The figures are quite telling, Cobolli has served very well since the start of the tournament, but Zverev remains superior in almost all aspects of the game.

• His second serve is much more solid, he protects his serve better and above all he gives very few opportunities to his opponents.

• Since the start of the fortnight, the German has been evolving at an impressively consistent level and his main weapon remains his serve.

• He is turning at over 72% of first serves throughout the tournament, which is simply monstrous on clay. If this percentage holds up today, I have a hard time imagining Cobolli being able to constantly put pressure on his service games.

• Behind the baseline, Zverev also seems untouchable in several matches, he defends perfectly, absorbs the opponent's power and gives the impression of controlling the pace of the rallies like never before at Roland-Garros.

• And that's precisely where the matchup becomes…