Tennis Prediction Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys: US Open

#USOpen 🇺🇸

• Qinwen Zheng has entered this draw through qualifying, and she has already won 5 matches in New York.

• In the last 3, she served 24 aces, with 87% of points won behind her first serve on Thursday against Yulia Putintseva.

• She knows this tournament: 2 quarter-finals here, in 2023 and 2024, and in 3 participations she has never lost before the 3rd round. On hard courts since June, 7 wins for 3 losses.

• And she knows Madison Keys. Their last duel was in Miami in March: 4-6 6-2 6-4 for Zheng, on hard, coming back from a set down.

• The first pick, it's the one I prefer: Zheng wins a set.

• 3 of her 5 matches here have gone to 3 sets, and Keys has played 8 of her 21 matches since June in 3 sets, again on Thursday against Anna Bondar.

• Between these two, a set for Zheng, it's the most likely scenario, not the exception.

• The second spot requires more, and I know it: Zheng is world #121. Her 5 wins here, none have come against a top 75 player.

• Before New York, she had lost against Lanlana Tararudee and against Alexandra Eala. And Keys, it's a final here in 2017, two semi-finals, and a 7-5 6-1 win over Zheng in Washington in 2023.

• But the Keys of 2026 on hard, it's 14 wins for 8 losses. And the one this week needed a tiebreaker in the third set to eliminate the world #70.

• A set, I see a good opportunity there. The match, I see it open, and for a small stake that's enough for me.

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