Our Pick
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas
#51
Martin Damm
Martin Damm
#104
Tournament: Montreal Surface: Hard

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

1u
ML Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 1.57

Best Odds

1.57 Bwin

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.7% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.25 Avg. Odds
4,901 Verified Bets

Complete Analysis

Tsitsipas ML1.571u
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is in the process of rebuilding his summer. A month ago, he was ranked 85th in the world. Since then, he has won the title in Gstaad, his first since February 2025, and he has already regained about thirty places in the rankings.
  • On Saturday, for his first match, he dismissed Keegan Rice in two sets, with 93% of points won behind his first serve. A Tsitsipas serving at this level won't be bothered on his service games, and that's going to count today.
  • Because on the other side, Martin Damm ticks all the boxes of the serious contender: left-handed, 22 years old, a huge serve, 13 aces in his last match here. At Wimbledon this summer, he won a match where all four sets went to a tiebreaker. This guy doesn't give up his serve easily.
  • However, his tennis stops almost there. Damm doesn't return, or very little. To take a set today, he only has one path, the tiebreaker, because he'll hardly see any break points against the Greek's serve.
  • Tsitsipas, on the other hand, has two doors in each set: the break, which his return can go and get, and the tiebreaker as a last resort, an exercise he's been practicing since his first Grand Slam finals when his opponent of the day discovers this level.
  • So I see tight sets, maybe a tiebreaker somewhere, but only one player capable of making the difference in the return games. Tsitsipas in two sets, or in three if Damm catches his lottery. In both cases, the ML holds.

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