Tennis Prediction Thiago Tirante vs Learner Tien: Montreal

Montreal 🇨🇦

• Learner Tien just achieved something rare: he beat Tommy Paul 6-3 6-2 without hitting a single ace. The whole paradox of this 20-year-old favourite is there: elite return, clear tennis, and a serve that doesn't scare anyone.

• Facing him is the hottest server in Montreal: Thiago Tirante won 96% of points behind his first serve against Taylor Fritz 4 days ago, a figure no one has approached this week. And on Saturday against Popyrin, he confirmed it: 9 aces, and not a single break point conceded.

• The market has understood: opened at 3.50 yesterday, the Argentinian is now played at 3.00 tonight. Someone has been buying him for 24 hours, and I'm not going to prove them wrong.

• Honesty, because this kind of line has already punished me this week: if the Argentinian's serve cools down, Tien is exactly the returner to turn it into a 6-3 6-2, and the ticket dies without discussion. A hot week is not a guarantee.

• Another key nuance: Tirante returns poorly. This match will be decided on a handful of points, and that's precisely what the line demands.

• At 1.91, almost the odds of a coin flip for a bet that has 3 paths to the cashier: I'm signing up.

• I don't see this man losing by more than 4 games tonight.