Cincinnati · Hard
Tennis Prediction Thiago Tirante vs Arthur Fils: Cincinnati
🎾
In brief:
Tirante +4.5 games1.621u
- There is one data point that jumps out to me before this quarterfinal, and it doesn't go in the favorite's favor. This week in Cincinnati, Thiago Tirante has won 82% of points behind his first serve.
- Arthur Fils is at 78%. The better server in this match is not the one the market is pricing.
- The volume tells the same story: 50 aces for the Argentine in 4 matches, 16 for the Frenchman in 3.
- Against De Minaur yesterday, Fils served 2 aces in the entire match. He won it through the quality of his game, not his serve.
- And there's Tirante's mindset, which is the real subject of his fortnight. 5 tiebreaks played this week, 4 won. A first set lost 2-6 against Novak Djokovic, match won.
- A first set lost 5-7 against Jakub Mensik yesterday, match won as well. Add Taylor Fritz out in Montreal 15 days ago. This Argentine is no longer afraid of anyone.
- It gives very tight matches: his 4 tournament matches ended with 1, 0, 2 and 2 games difference.
- And his last defeat, against Tien in Montreal, was 4 games. Even that day, this line held.
- The argument on the other side is frontal and I give it as is: Fils folded his 3 matches of the week with 6, 7 and 5 games in advance.
- One of these two regimes will break on Friday, and if it's the Argentine's, the line jumps.
- But to take 5 games ahead of this Tirante, you have to break him twice.
- No one has managed it this week, and Fils will show up with the most discreet serve of his fortnight.
Agustin Tirante Thiago
#64
Arthur Fils
#22
Tournament:
Cincinnati
Surface:
Hard
Our Bet
Confidence Level
70%
Good Confidence
Bet Details
1u
HC Agustin Tirante Thiago +4.5 (games)
@ 1.62
Best Odds
1.62 BwinVerified Track Record
+2.7%
ROI / Yield
55%
Win Rate
2.25
Avg. Odds
4,901
Verified Bets
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