Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro Tabilo
#30
Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar
#24
Tournament: Cincinnati Surface: Hard

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.75u
HC Alejandro Tabilo +1.5 (sets) @ 1.8

Best Odds

1.8 Bwin

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.7% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.25 Avg. Odds
4,901 Verified Bets

Complete Analysis

Tabilo +1.5 sets1.800.75u
  • No one is beating Rafael Jodar right now, and this bet doesn't ask for that. It asks for something much more modest: a set. And on this specific subject, the history between these two players is clear.
  • 5 sets played between them, 3 won by Tabilo. At Indian Wells, the Chilean had beaten him decisively. At Washington two weeks ago, Jodar took his revenge in 3 sets, but the first one was for the lefty, and the Spaniard had to grind it out until the end of the next two. Tabilo has never left a court without a set against him.
  • The 19-year-old phenomenon is winning everything, but look how: 34 games yesterday against Shapovalov, a tiebreaker against Fils in Montreal, three sets against Tabilo in Washington. He leaves windows, and a left-handed server who wins 82% of the points behind his first serve, like Tabilo yesterday against Struff, is the perfect profile to go through one.
  • The reserve is real: Jodar's return is the best on the board, and when he confiscates a match, even the big servers don't see the tiebreaker. This is the losing scenario, it happened to Lehecka and Musetti.
  • But a set out of three, against a player that Tabilo has already beaten this year and pushed two weeks ago, is the right demand in the right place, especially with the Spaniard's match schedule.

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Match Result

Prediction Lost ✗

Pogz
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