Tennis Prediction Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic: Wimbledon

🇮🇹 Sinner 🆚 Djokovic 🇷🇸

• I tend to trust Jannik Sinner against Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon, with also a small stake on the over 3.5 sets.

• The match is obviously huge, after their duel here in 2025, won quite clearly by Sinner in three sets, I can very well imagine Novak arriving with a real desire for revenge.

• And that's also why I don't want to rule out the over 3.5 sets, Djokovic remains Djokovic, even at 39, he is still capable of producing completely extraordinary matches, as we saw in the previous round against Félix Auger-Aliassime.

• A 5h14 victory, in a match of exceptional level, with once again this ability to refuse defeat and find solutions in the hottest moments.

• But that's precisely what worries me today, at 39, recovering from such a battle is absolutely not obvious.

• He finished very late, he left a lot of energy on the court, and the task seems even higher against the world number 1.

• On his side, Jannik Sinner has not necessarily given the impression of being a steamroller since the start of this Wimbledon.

• We've seen him more in management, in control, sometimes even caught, he conceded two sets against Kecmanovic, and his matches against Struff, Mochizuki or even Nuno Borges have not given the impression of total domination either.

• Even without being ultra dominant, Sinner is progressing, controlling his matches and giving the feeling of still having a real margin for improvement.

• The statistics since the start of the tournament are also quite telling.

🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner

• 13h16 spent on the courts
• 85% of points won behind 1st serve
• 53% of points won behind 2nd serve
• 4.1 break points conceded per match

🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic

• 16h32 spent on the courts
• 75% of points won behind 1st serve
• 61% of points won behind 2nd serve
• 7.8 break points conceded per match

• The gap in playing time, age and number of openings conceded seems important at this stage of the tournament.

• Novak remains an extraordinary athlete, almost superhuman at times but against the absolute cream, against what the circuit offers the strongest physically and mentally today, I think it can end up weighing.

• Sinner knows this type of appointment perfectly, he knows how to handle the pressure, he knows how to stay cold in the important moments, and he has this ability to maintain a huge physical intensity for several hours.

• Their last duel at the Australian Open is also interesting to re-read, Djokovic won in five sets, but Sinner had largely dominated a large part of the match, with above all a huge lack of realism on the break points.

• 2/18 for Sinner, against 3/8 for Novak, at this level, this kind of detail completely changes a match.

• Today, I have the feeling