Tennis Prediction Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquet: Montreal

🇨🇦 Montreal (Q)

• 3 matches between these two players, 3 wins for Alexander Shevchenko. It's not a guarantee, but when a player has already beaten another 3 times, you don't make him a clear underdog without a very good reason.

• The reason exists, I'll give it to you right away: Kyrian Jacquet is having a much better season. 2 wins for 1 loss roughly, a superior performance on hard courts, and a real harvest on the Challenger circuit this spring. He's on the rise, that's undeniable.

• Except that the Frenchman has built this season one level below, and the last round of the qualifications of a Masters 1000 is played with players from the level above. Shevchenko, on the other hand, is passing his year up there, with what that implies in terms of lost matches against well-ranked players.

• His two weeks in July tell the story: 3 straight wins in Gstaad, including Alexandre Muller and Quentin Halys, then a set taken from Stefanos Tsitsipas before giving in. You don't do that with the level of a qualifying player.

• Both are coming off the European clay and haven't played for about ten days. Neither of them has any bearings on this surface this week, which puts everyone back on an even playing field.

• I'm taking the one the market has decided to forget, for a simple reason: he has already solved this problem three times, and there is nothing in the facts that says the balance of power has changed sides.