Montreal · Hard
Tennis Prediction Ben Shelton vs Joao Fonseca: Montreal
Premium

Ben Shelton
#8

Joao Fonseca
#27
Tournament:
Montreal
Surface:
Hard
Our Bet
Confidence Level
70%
Good Confidence
Bet Details
1.25u
Over 22.5 Games
@ 1.64
Set 1 Over 10.5 Games
@ 2.6
Best Odds
2.6 BwinBookmaker ad — enable "Advertising" cookies to display.
Verified Track Record
+2.7%
ROI / Yield
55%
Win Rate
2.25
Avg. Odds
4,901
Verified Bets
Complete Analysis
Montreal 🇨🇦
🇺🇸🇧🇷Over 22.5 games Shelton Fonseca1.640.75u
🇺🇸🇧🇷Over 10.5 games S1 Shelton Fonseca2.600.5u
- First, Ben Shelton. His match against Bergs on Friday, it was 8 aces, 0 double faults, 87% of points won behind the first serve, and a victory completed in 1h05. The best Shelton of the season, or close to it.
- Joao Fonseca responds present in front: Tsitsipas then Ruud knocked out one after the other, and especially 2 first sets of 13 games, in the tiebreaker each time. This 19-year-old boy doesn't let go of a start.
- The heart of the file is summed up in one sentence: an unplayable left-handed serve on one side, and on the other a young man who has not been broken at the start of the match for 2 matches. When the serves hold, the sets stretch and the games pile up.
- Honesty, because it cost me dearly: Fonseca, he knows how to come back. 100% conversion of break points against Tsitsipas, 67% against Ruud. If he breaks Shelton's serve once per set, it ends 6-4 6-4 and my 2 tickets die together. This scenario exists, I look it in the face.
- Their only previous meeting, however, says the same thing as me: Munich in April, 27 games in 3 sets, on a clay court that suited neither of them. On hard court, with these serves, I don't see why it would be shorter.
- And you'll notice there's no winner on my ticket. The market can't separate them, neither can I, and I'm not paying to settle what no one knows how to settle.
- The 2 lines are the same bet at 2 levels, I'd rather say it: that's why the stakes are reduced. Tiebreakers, a match that drags on, and two cannons who trade blow for blow. That's all I ask for this Sunday.
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About Pogz
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Pogz is a professional tennis tipster sharing daily picks, analysis and results with a community of bettors.
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