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In brief:

Safiullin S12.700.25u
Over 3.5 sets Safiullin Fonseca1.600.65u
  • I'm having a hard time seeing the Brazilian as such a favourite in this matchup.
  • Yes, Fonseca remains one of the greatest talents of his generation but grass is still a surface he's discovering.
  • His experience remains relatively limited and I find that it still shows at certain moments of the match.
  • Since the start of the tournament, he has defeated Roberto Bautista Agut and then Jesper De Jong.
  • Two logical victories, but against opponents who seem much less dangerous to me than Roman Safiullin on this surface.
  • Today, the test will be of a completely different level, the Russian is simply having an excellent Wimbledon.
  • He has won five consecutive matches on these courts: 3 in qualifying, then two huge five-set victories over Andrey Rublev and Botic Van de Zandschulp.
  • Beyond the results, it's especially his level of play that impresses me.
  • Safiullin has exactly the profile we like to see on grass.
  • A big first serve, excellent serve+1 and a real desire to take the initiative from the first shots.
  • I think this style of play can really bother Fonseca a lot.
  • The Brazilian also likes to impose his rhythm but against a player capable of taking time away from him and constantly attacking him, I'm curious to see how he will adapt.
  • That's also why the bet on the first set particularly appeals to me.
  • Safiullin is arriving with a lot of confidence and already five matches under his belt at Wimbledon.
  • He knows the conditions perfectly and I see him capable of taking Fonseca by the throat from the start of the match.
  • However, I still think the Brazilian has enough talent to react as the match goes on.
  • That's exactly what I like about the over 3.5 sets bet.
  • I have the feeling that we are going to witness a very close match, with several turnarounds.
  • Between a Safiullin full of confidence, perfectly settled into his tournament, and a Fonseca who is still discovering the subtleties of grass at this level, I want to try the Russian's first set as well as a match in a minimum of four sets today.
Roman Safiullin
Roman Safiullin
#96
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild
#284
Tournament: Wimbledon Surface: Grass

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.9u
HC Roman Safiullin +1.5 (sets) @ 2.7
Set 1 Over 3.5 Games @ 1.6

Best Odds

2.7 Bwin

Expert Track Record

Bet-Analytix

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