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In brief:

Over 3.5 sets Fonseca Ruud1.491.25u
Fonseca2.550.25u
  • I think we may be witnessing the definitive emergence of the Next Gen at this French Open, with players like Rafael Jodar, Martin Landaluce, Dino Prizmic and Joao Fonseca – a new wave is arriving and the Brazilian is probably the one who has sent the strongest message to the tour this week.
  • His victory over Novak Djokovic in the previous round is a huge turning point in his young career, beating Novak in 5 sets on one of the biggest courts in the world after nearly 5 hours of battle, it's not just a win, it's a statement.
  • And what impressed me the most wasn't even the result, it was the way he did it. The Serb played at a very high level from start to finish, and yet Fonseca never panicked.
  • He served with steel, with over 74% of first serves throughout the match, and his forehand did absolutely monstrous damage, he constantly took the initiative and never gave the impression of being overwhelmed by the occasion.
  • Today comes what many consider the hardest match to manage: the confirmation match. After beating a legend like Djokovic, he has to immediately go back into battle against a two-time French Open finalist.
  • And yet, I have the feeling that Fonseca is a different player, a generational talent who finally seems ready to assume his status on the biggest stages.
  • On the other side, Casper Ruud remains an enormous challenge on clay, but when you look at his tournament in more detail, everything hasn't been as simple as the scores might sometimes suggest.
  • He had to go through a huge 5-set battle against Safiullin, before a more comfortable match against Medjedovic, and then especially a new marathon against Tommy Paul where he saved two match points.
  • His run looks more like a battle than a stroll in the park, and today the task seems even higher because Fonseca is arriving with absolutely gigantic confidence and above all a level of play that can really hurt the Norwegian.
  • His forehand is capable of putting Ruud under constant pressure and preventing him from settling into his preferred baseline game.
  • I also really like the context of this night session, the slower conditions should allow the Brazilian to fully commit to his shots without taking as many risks.
  • This is exactly what he managed to do at the end of the match against Djokovic in the most important moments, he was able to unleash his shots without overthinking it as the conditions got slower throughout the day.
  • I see a huge battle between the 2 players tonight, Ruud has the experience, emotional management and references on this surface, Fonseca has the confidence
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud
#13
Our Pick
Joao Fonseca
Joao Fonseca
#27
Tournament: Roland Garros Surface: Clay

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

1.5u
ML Joao Fonseca @ 2.55
Over 3.5 Games @ 1.49

Best Odds

2.55 Bwin

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.8% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.27 Avg. Odds
4,743 Verified Bets

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Match Result

Prediction Won ✓

Pogz
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