Tennis Prediction Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges: Cincinnati

🇺🇸 Cincinnati

• 3 hard court matches between Rublev and Borges. 6 sets played. 6 sets for Rublev. Basel, Doha, Hong Kong: 6-3 6-2, 6-3 6-4, 6-3 6-4. These are not 3 accidents, it's the same scenario 3 times.

• The film never changes because the balance of power never changes: Borges lives off his serve and returns little, Rublev returns better and hits harder on both sides.

• The Portuguese holds, holds, then gives in once per set. Once is enough. Even at Roland-Garros in May, where he hung on for 3 tight sets, he didn't win a single one of them.

• This week's Borges deserves respect: a 38-game war against Kokkinakis, then the scalp of Cerundolo. But this mountain of tennis has a cost, and his game requires serving at full intensity every day. Faced with Rublev's return, the first drop in tension is paid for dearly.

• Rublev, for his part, has purged his rust yesterday: a first set snatched in the tiebreak, then a 6-1 without discussion. And Cincinnati is his August garden, quarter-finals or better the last two years.

• The market estimates this power ratio at around a 57-43 advantage for Rublev, on my side I estimate this duel at a 65-35, I'm going for it without regret.