Tennis Prediction Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz: Wimbledon

Wimbledon 🍓

• I'm having a hard time understanding this odds given the current dynamics of the two players, Tommy Paul is simply having an excellent grass court swing.
• He's coming off a final at Queen's where he displayed an extremely convincing level of play, and since the start of Wimbledon, he's giving the impression of continuing to improve.

• The American is cruising through his early rounds, he's serving very well, moving wonderfully and his flat game is causing a lot of damage in these conditions.

• On the other side, Hubert Hurkacz has certainly had a good start to the tournament but that's not enough to make me forget the many difficulties he's been going through in recent weeks.

• Before Wimbledon, the Pole had notably lost to Daniel Altmaier in Halle and then to Marton Fucsovics in 's-Hertogenbosch.

• Two players capable of making him play a lot and taking him out of his comfort zone and in my opinion, Tommy Paul takes this even further.

• The American is probably one of the best movers on tour, he covers the court perfectly, returns a ton of balls and constantly forces his opponent to play one more shot.

• This is exactly the kind of profile that tends to bother Hurkacz and when the Pole can no longer shorten the rallies behind his serve, he becomes much more vulnerable.

• I also really like the head-to-head, Tommy Paul has won the last three meetings between the two players.

• Stylistically, he seems to have found the solutions to neutralize the Pole's game, I think this matchup suits him particularly well.

• There's also a mental aspect that I find interesting, Tommy Paul is playing with a lot of confidence, his draw is particularly open and he knows he has a real opportunity to go deep at this Wimbledon.
• Of course, Hurkacz remains a always dangerous opponent on grass, with a strong first serve, he's capable of pushing any player to the limit.

• But in the current form, the confidence shown by Tommy Paul and a H2H that largely favors him in recent meetings, I want to trust the American today.