Our Pick
Kei Nishikori
Kei Nishikori
#721
Marco Trungelliti
Marco Trungelliti
#91
Tournament: Cincinnati Surface: Hard

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.65u
ML Kei Nishikori @ 1.72

Best Odds

1.72 Bwin

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.7% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.25 Avg. Odds
4,901 Verified Bets

Complete Analysis

🇺🇸 #Cincinnati (Q)

🇯🇵 **Nishikori ML · 1.72 | 0.65u*

  • Two 36-year-old men are taking the court tonight, and they both come from the exact same day: a three-set victory yesterday, 33 games for the Argentinian, 29 for the Japanese, and 16 hours of recovery before doing it again.
  • At that age, that detail is often worth more than a ranking.
  • What really separates them is the surface. Marco Trungelliti is a clay court player: 21 wins for 13 losses on the dirt this season, and only 3 for 6 on hard courts.
  • He came here looking for something that his game doesn't naturally give him.
  • Kei Nishikori, on the other hand, has spent an entire career playing his best tennis on this surface.
  • And despite everything that can be said about his current ranking, he still found a way to win 7-5 in the decisive set last night.
  • Caution is still needed, however, as the Japanese is ranked 467th in the world, has a 7-7 record on the season, and was beaten 6-3 6-1 by Michael Zheng 11 days ago in Montreal.
  • This is not a former champion returning to the top, this is a player rebuilding himself match after match.
  • What I'm playing is one thing: a clay court player put on a fast court, against a man who has built his entire career on it. 0.65u, no more, and with eyes wide open.

Recommended Bookmaker

Bwin

27+ years of history — the pioneer of European sports betting

€100
Pogz
About Pogz Tennis Expert

Pogz is a professional tennis tipster sharing daily picks, analysis and results with a community of bettors.

More from Pogz

View all →

Related Predictions

All predictions →