Tennis Prediction Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev: Roland Garros

🇫🇷 #RolandGarros

• It finally seems we are heading towards this first Grand Slam title so coveted by Alexander Zverev.

• With the elimination of several favourites and the level displayed since the start of the fortnight, the German appears more than ever as the man to beat.

• But the question remains the same: will he have the nerves solid enough when the matches really start to count? And today, the Jakub Mensik test seems much more complicated than it appears.

• The Czech has totally amazed me physically in this tournament. After his huge battle against Navone where he had left the court in an alarming state, many thought he was going to end up exploding.

• Yet, he continues to chain high-level performances and his straight-sets demonstration against Joao Fonseca is probably his most impressive performance of the fortnight.

• On the other hand, Zverev has not yet been really pushed to his limits. His tournament is almost like a long quiet river.

• He has only lost one set so far, against Quentin Halys, and since then he has been rolling with impressive mastery. But today, the profile is totally different.

• Mensik has exactly the type of weapon capable of creating doubt in the German: the serve. When the Czech is confident behind his serve, he can completely lock down a set and prevent his opponent from finding his rhythm.

• If we look at the statistics of the two players since the start of the tournament:

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

• 11h42 spent on the courts
• 74% of points won behind 1st serve
• 67% of points won behind 2nd serve
• 3.2 break points faced per match

🇨🇿 Jakub Mensik

• 15h44 spent on the courts
• 78% of points won behind 1st serve
• 43% of points won behind 2nd serve
• 10.2 break points faced per match

• The figures obviously show an overall dominance of Zverev but they also show that Mensik continues to win despite sometimes less clean statistics than his opponents.

• This is often a sign of a player who wins a lot of important points and plays particularly well under pressure. And above all, Mensik is not at all afraid of this kind of appointment.

• We are talking about a player who has already beaten Novak Djokovic in a Masters 1000 final, he will not step onto the court with a complex of inferiority, he is there to win and he knows it.

• What I also like is his ability to gain momentum as the tournament progresses, the more the matches advance, the more comfortable he seems, the more confidence he gains in his shots and the more relaxed he plays.

• I also liked his positioning against Fonseca, very often with both feet in the court, aggressive on the return, with a lot of net approaches to finish the points.