Tennis Prediction Mensik vs Fils: Cincinnati

🇺🇸 Cincinnati

• Let's break down this ticket, because its odds tell a story: Mensik is worth 1.28, Fils is worth 1.61. In other words, almost everything this combo pays is the Fils-Lehecka match. The other leg is a passenger, this one is the engine.

• The passenger first, in two sentences: Hijikata has the most fragile serve left in the draw and is stringing together his fourth won match through courage. Mensik returns too well and hits too hard for courage to suffice a fourth time.

• The engine now. Fils against Lehecka, it's 5 duels, 3 French wins, including the latest one in Madrid this spring.

• Two serving-attacking players of the same mold, same power, same first ball. Only one cursor really separates them: the return, and it's on Fils' side. In a match where everything is similar, the player who takes the opponent's serve one more time per set ends up in front.

• What I respect on the other side: Lehecka is at home in this tournament, quarter-finalist last year, and the Fils of this summer has already stumbled twice on servers who don't tremble in the end of sets.

• A tie-break in the 3rd set would surprise no one, and at that point the ticket only holds on to details, hence the 0.5u engaged.