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In brief:

Halle 🇩🇪

🏳️ Medvedev OT · 5.10 | 0.5u (Winamax)

  • The further the tournament progresses, the more I find Medvedev's position extremely interesting.
  • Daniil is one of the players who are sometimes underrated on grass even though his tennis is perfectly compatible with the surface.
  • His flat game, his quality of court coverage and his ability to absorb opponents' shots work remarkably well on grass.
  • He is also one of the best players on the circuit to recover low balls and turn defensive situations into neutral positions.
  • It's no coincidence that he has already reached several finals in Halle and was still the runner-up here last year.
  • Since the beginning of the week, I find him very solid, he has perfectly negotiated his early rounds and qualified for the quarter-finals without really trembling.
  • His quarter-final against Daniel Altmaier seems largely within his reach.
  • The German is having a good tournament but Medvedev had already dominated him in Halle in the past and the matchup remains generally favorable to the Russian.
  • Then, a semi-final against Frances Tiafoe or Félix Auger-Aliassime does not scare me at all.
  • Tiafoe remains dangerous on grass but Medvedev simply has a higher overall level.
  • As for Félix, even though he is having a very good season, Daniil has often had the solutions against him throughout his career and the matchup suits him rather well.
  • What I like most is the situation of his main competitors.
  • Alexander Zverev is just coming out of his triumph at Roland-Garros and has himself acknowledged having lived an extremely intense week after his Parisian title.
  • I am not convinced that this is the ideal week for him to be asked to immediately follow up with an ATP 500 title on grass.
  • His record in Halle is also surprisingly poor despite several participations and several lost finals.
  • On the other side of the draw, Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton are also coming off a big week in Stuttgart.
  • They arrive with a lot of matches in their legs and it is never easy to follow up immediately on another ATP 500, even when the conditions are similar.
  • In the end, I feel that Medvedev finds himself in an ideal position.
  • He has the experience, the level of play, a relatively accessible draw and above all a profile that naturally works on this surface.
  • He still lacks that first big title on grass and this kind of opportunity does not present itself every week.
  • Between his quality from the baseline, his ability to neutralize big servers and a draw that seems to be gradually opening up, I clearly want to take Daniil Medvedev to go all the way this week in Halle.
Our Pick
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev
#8
Daniel Altmaier
Daniel Altmaier
#60
Tournament: Halle Surface: Grass

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.5u
ML Daniil Medvedev @ 5.1

Best Odds

5.1 Bwin

Expert Track Record

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