Claire Liu
Claire Liu
#113
Heather Watson
Heather Watson
#475
Tournament: US Open Surface: Hard

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.75u
Under 21.5 Games @ 1.72

Best Odds

1.72 Bwin

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.7% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.25 Avg. Odds
4,901 Verified Bets

Complete Analysis

Under 21.5 games Liu Watson1.720.75u
  • Claire Liu's last 8 matches lasted 19, 18, 20, 17, 19, 18, 21 and 30 games. 7 out of 8 under 21.5 games. She doesn't linger on the court.
  • On the other hand, Heather Watson is world #442 and has a 13-11 record this season, while Liu is #114 with a 29-15 record. The market makes her a big favourite, and a big favourite in qualifications usually dispatches quickly.
  • The counterargument exists and I'll give it: on hard courts specifically, the gap narrows a lot, 8-6 for Liu against 10-9 for Watson. And their only meeting on this surface, in 2018, lasted 29 games.
  • But that was 8 years ago, and this season's Liu doesn't play matches like that anymore. I expect to see the American win comfortably today.

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