Washington · Hard
Tennis Prediction Rafael Jodar vs Taylor Fritz: Washington
Our Pick
Rafael Jodar
#24
Taylor Fritz
#10
Tournament:
Washington
Surface:
Hard
Our Bet
Confidence Level
70%
Good Confidence
Bet Details
0.5u
ML Rafael Jodar
@ 2.5
Best Odds
2.5 BwinVerified Track Record
+2.7%
ROI / Yield
55%
Win Rate
2.25
Avg. Odds
4,901
Verified Bets
Complete Analysis
- #Washington 🇺🇸
Jodar2.500.5u
- This final has been postponed by 24 hours, and that is not neutral. Rafael Jodar had spent 2h26 on the court in the semi-finals against 1h48 for Taylor Fritz. The extra day of rest erases this delay, and it benefits more a 19-year-old boy than a 28-year-old player.
- Next, we need to look at how they got there. The Spaniard eliminated Arthur Fils, Kei Nishikori, Lorenzo Musetti and Alejandro Tabilo. The American beat Zizou Bergs, Kamil Majchrzak, Alex Michelsen and Brandon Nakashima. Both are in the final, but they did not have the same week.
- His season tells the same story: 43 wins for 12 losses, including 22-7 on hard courts, when Fritz is at 27-13. The ranking says 10th against 24th, the results say the opposite.
- I'm not minimizing what's in front of me. Fritz serves among the very best on the circuit, he has already beaten him in Delray Beach in February (7-6 6-4), and he's playing in front of his home crowd. He's a real favourite, not an usurpation.
- But since that duel, Rafael Jodar has taken a real step up on the circuit, and there's a difference between being the favourite and being paid as such.
- I have a hard time understanding the market that pushes Fritz, and in the end it ended up selling a 19-year-old player who wins more than him this season as a clear underdog.
- I see a long match, decided on a few points on the return. And on this ground, the one who returns the best of the two, it's the Spaniard.
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Match Result
Prediction Lost ✗
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