Tennis Prediction Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils: Montreal

🇨🇦 Montreal

🇪🇸 Jodar ML · 1.94 | 1u (Winamax)

• 12 days ago, in Washington, Rafael Jodar beat Arthur Fils 7-6 6-3. Yet, at the moment, the bookies make the Frenchman the slight favourite for this quarter-final. This paradox is the whole subject, and it's the one I'm playing.

• What the market retains against the Spaniard is the bill: a 10th match in 14 days, a final in Washington in his legs, and this wrist fall that everyone has been talking about for a week.

• Except that Jodar answers this question every two days. Since his final, he has eliminated Moutet, Musetti and then Lehecka, the latter swept away 6-3 6-3 on Saturday with 86% of points won behind his first serve, his best serving performance of the tournament. 7 wins in his last 8 matches, 13th in the live rankings, the best ranking of his career at 19 years old.

• The clash of styles leans the same way: Jodar's return is the best this draw can still offer, and it attacks a Fils who lives off his first serve. In the other direction, the Frenchman's return is his real weak point, and it will let a Spanish serve that needs it breathe. Washington followed this exact scenario.

• The reservations, as always. Fils is fresh, him: beaten in the first round in Washington, only 3 matches this week, and it's his 4th quarter-final in a Masters 1000 this season. He belongs at this level. And a run of 10 matches in 14 days always ends up showing up, the only question is when.

• One unit on the player of the fortnight, at the price of a coin toss. The fatigue is real, the answer has been there in every match. I'm taking the Spaniard, and I'm starting to believe that he could even win his first Masters 1000 title, stay tuned.