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In brief:

Humbert1.650.65u
Over 10.5 games S1 Humbert vs Halys2.750.25u
  • I feel like trusting Ugo today. The Frenchman seems to be gradually regaining a very good level of play in recent weeks, and even though his quarter-final in Hamburg ended in a loss against Ignacio Busta, I really liked the content of the match.
  • We found a much more aggressive Humbert, cleaner behind his serve and above all capable of quickly taking control of the rallies as soon as he advances on the court.
  • And above all, the current conditions in Paris should clearly benefit him.
  • With this heat and sun, the courts are playing much faster than usual, which greatly favors his offensive tennis and the quality of his first serve.
  • I see him perfectly capable of taking advantage of these conditions to impose his pace and make the French tennis hierarchy respected in this duel.
  • Obviously, there is still one point that can be worrying: the physical aspect.
  • We know that Humbert has sometimes struggled with the best-of-5 format, even more so when the temperatures become very high.
  • But honestly, what reassures me today is that Quentin Halys is not necessarily a reference either in this area.
  • And in a potentially long battle under this heat, I still think Ugo has more solutions in his game.
  • Because yes, Halys remains a huge test. His serve +1 is extremely clean in these fast conditions, he gets a lot of free points and can quickly catch fire behind his first serve.
  • This is precisely why I really like the over 10.5 games in the first set.

I expect a very tight start: few break opportunities, a lot of quick games behind the serves and probably a set that could easily go to a tie-break.

  • But over the entire match, I still tend to see Humbert as better equipped tennis-wise to make the difference.
  • He has more variety, a better ability to defend when under pressure and above all more solutions when the rallies start to get a bit longer.
Our Pick
Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert
#29
Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys
#90
Tournament: Roland Garros Surface: Clay

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.9u
ML Ugo Humbert @ 1.65
Over 10.5 Games @ 2.75

Best Odds

2.75 Bwin

Expert Track Record

Bet-Analytix

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Pogz
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