Tennis Prediction Gustavo Heide vs Joel Schwaerzler: US Open

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• Gustavo Heide doesn't linger on a court. His last 8 matches lasted 17, 19, 18, 16, 29, 23, 19 and 26 games: 6 out of 8 fall under the 23.5 games line.

• And this line is high. At 23.5, you need a 3rd set or two tie-breaks to break it. A classic 6-4 6-4 goes through with 4 games to spare.

• However, be careful, Joel Schwaerzler is the opposite, 45% of his matches this season went to 3 sets, and he has outings at 32, 34 and 35 games under his belt. He's the danger of this ticket, not the Brazilian.

• But he's coming off 2 defeats, including one in straight sets, and a player who doubts ends more often than he prolongs, I see a small value here.