Tennis Prediction Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Zverev: Montreal

Montreal 🇨🇦

• These two know each other inside out, and especially their matches are all similar. Their last 3 hard court meetings in Indian Wells, Shanghai and Paris all started with a tiebreaker. In the 7 times they faced off on this surface, the first set went over 10.5 games 4 times.

• The reason is simple: they are both big servers, and Tallon Griekspoor is one of those who holds his serve even when the rest doesn't follow. Just last night, he dismissed Lorenzo Sonego with 76% of points won behind his first serve.

• On the other side, Alexander Zverev is making his comeback after 25 days without any official match, since his Wimbledon final loss against Jannik Sinner. He has been training, he only took a week off, but he himself explained that he needs to chain matches to really feel good on court. A hesitant start, it happens even to the best.

• And the Dutchman is in the perfect position: 69th in the world, nothing to defend, rhythm in his legs, a win from yesterday in his pocket. He has no reason to hold back his arm.

• Let's be clear on what I'm buying and what I'm not buying: Zverev is world #2, he leads their h2h very largely, and he should win this match. I'm not betting against that.

• I'm betting on a tight start to the match and on Griekspoor breaking the German serve at least once, as he's already done in Shanghai and Rotterdam. A long first set, a break in the mix, and these three tickets pass without the final result concerning me.