Tennis Prediction Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva: Montreal

🇨🇦 **Galarneau · 1.89 | 0.65u

• Alexis Galarneau is playing at home tonight in Montreal, with a wild card and a court he knows by heart. That counts, but that's not why I'm taking him.

• I'm taking him because the 2 men haven't had the same July. The Quebecer is chaining North American hard court tournaments, with a last match in Granby 2 weeks ago. Vit Kopriva, on the other hand, is coming from the clay of Kitzbühel and hasn't played in 13 days.

• And the Czech is going through a real drought: 1 win in his last 3 tournaments, 3 in his last 10 matches, and not a single one of those matches played on hard. His season is that of a clay courter, with a balanced record on the ochre and a more refined performance on cement.

• What bothers me, I'll give it to you straight: there are almost 100 ranking places between the two, and Galarneau has built his season one floor below, on the Challenger circuit. He's not a player you take for his record.

• He's a player you take for his form on this surface. He's turning 21-12 on hard this year, and he took out Adrian Mannarino in July in Newport, after 3 sets and a tiebreaker.

• Last year, he won in 2 sets against Rinderknech before losing in 3 sets against Cobolli after a very close match. He's typically the kind of player who evolves a notch above his average level of play when he's at home.

• I see a long, hard-fought match, with a crowd that will carry the local in the tight moments. In this kind of scenario, the man who has recent references on the surface has a real chance to play.