Roland Garros · Clay
Tennis Prediction Fonseca vs Mensik: Roland Garros
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In brief:
🇧🇷MyMatch Fonseca1.900.25u
🇧🇷Fonseca1.520.75u
🇧🇷🇨🇿Over 3.5 sets Fonseca Mensik1.511u
- Everything seems to be in place to witness one of the tournament's matches here, the first Grand Slam quarter-final for both players, a completely open draw and a unique opportunity to reach a first major semi-final in their career.
- In this context, I have a hard time imagining either of them managing to win in straight sets.
- We're talking about two exceptional young players, but also two players who will discover a pressure they've never experienced at this level before.
- I expect more of a battle of nerves than a demonstration, with inevitably highs, lows, periods of dominance and several turnarounds.
- The physical aspect also plays a huge role.
- And if we look at the statistics of the 2 players since the start of the tournament:
🇨🇿 Jakub Mensik
- 13h01 spent on the courts
- 77% of points won behind his first serve
- 45% of points won behind his second serve
- 11.5 break points faced per match
🇧🇷 Joao Fonseca
- 14h29 spent on the courts
- 71% of points won behind his first serve
- 58% of points won behind his second serve
- 9.8 break points faced per match
- The two players have drawn heavily on their reserves since the start of the fortnight.
- Since his cramp-induced victory against Mariano Navone, I tend to want to lay Mensik physically.
- The Czech had left the court in a worrying state, and yet he has continued to progress with a 4-set win against De Minaur and another 5-set battle won against Rublev, he seems clearly inexhaustible.
- On the other hand, many also feared a backlash for Fonseca after his huge victory against Novak Djokovic.
- But the Brazilian immediately responded by dominating Casper Ruud in 4 sets after another very high-level performance.
- And if I had to name the player who has impressed me the most since the start of the tournament, it would probably be him.
- I find him more complete, more mature in his decision-making and above all more solid in the important moments.
- His forehand is simply devastating since the start of this fortnight. And in night-session, this weapon becomes even more dangerous.
- The slower conditions allow him to commit 200% in each shot without spraying, exactly as he had done against Djokovic and then against Ruud.
- However, I absolutely do not see a one-way match. Mensik has a serve quality capable of winning him a set almost single-handedly.
- And Fonseca's return quality is probably the most improvable aspect of his game at the moment.
- I would therefore be very surprised to see the Brazilian roll out smoothly in this matchup.
- It is precisely for
Our Pick


Joao Fonseca
#27

Jakub Mensik
#17
Tournament:
Roland Garros
Surface:
Clay
Our Bet
Confidence Level
70%
Good Confidence
Bet Details
2u
ML Joao Fonseca
@ 1.52
Set 1 Over 3.5 Games
@ 1.51
Best Odds
1.52 BwinBookmaker ad — enable "Advertising" cookies to display.
Verified Track Record
+2.7%
ROI / Yield
55%
Win Rate
2.25
Avg. Odds
4,901
Verified Bets
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Bwin
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€100
Match Result
Prediction Lost ✗
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