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Tennis Prediction Fonseca vs Mensik: Roland Garros

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In brief:

🇧🇷 MyMatch Fonseca · 1.90 | 0.25u

🇧🇷 Fonseca · 1.52 | 0.75u

🇧🇷🇨🇿 Over 3.5 sets Fonseca Mensik · 1.51 | 1u

  • Everything seems to be in place to witness one of the tournament's matches here, the first Grand Slam quarter-final for both players, a completely open draw and a unique opportunity to reach a first major semi-final in their career.
  • In this context, I have a hard time imagining either of them managing to win in straight sets.
  • We're talking about two exceptional young players, but also two players who will discover a pressure they've never experienced at this level before.
  • I expect more of a battle of nerves than a demonstration, with inevitably highs, lows, periods of dominance and several turnarounds.
  • The physical aspect also plays a huge role.
  • And if we look at the statistics of the 2 players since the start of the tournament:

🇨🇿 Jakub Mensik

  • 13h01 spent on the courts
  • 77% of points won behind his first serve
  • 45% of points won behind his second serve
  • 11.5 break points faced per match

🇧🇷 Joao Fonseca

  • 14h29 spent on the courts
  • 71% of points won behind his first serve
  • 58% of points won behind his second serve
  • 9.8 break points faced per match
  • The two players have drawn heavily on their reserves since the start of the fortnight.
  • Since his cramp-induced victory against Mariano Navone, I tend to want to lay Mensik physically.
  • The Czech had left the court in a worrying state, and yet he has continued to progress with a 4-set win against De Minaur and another 5-set battle won against Rublev, he seems clearly inexhaustible.
  • On the other hand, many also feared a backlash for Fonseca after his huge victory against Novak Djokovic.
  • But the Brazilian immediately responded by dominating Casper Ruud in 4 sets after another very high-level performance.
  • And if I had to name the player who has impressed me the most since the start of the tournament, it would probably be him.
  • I find him more complete, more mature in his decision-making and above all more solid in the important moments.
  • His forehand is simply devastating since the start of this fortnight. And in night-session, this weapon becomes even more dangerous.
  • The slower conditions allow him to commit 200% in each shot without spraying, exactly as he had done against Djokovic and then against Ruud.
  • However, I absolutely do not see a one-way match. Mensik has a serve quality capable of winning him a set almost single-handedly.
  • And Fonseca's return quality is probably the most improvable aspect of his game at the moment.
  • I would therefore be very surprised to see the Brazilian roll out smoothly in this matchup.
  • It is precisely for
Joao Fonseca
Joao Fonseca
#25
Jakub Mensik
Jakub Mensik
#17
Tournament: Roland Garros Surface: Clay

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

2u
ML Joao Fonseca @ 1.52
Set 1 Over 3.5 Games @ 1.51

Best Odds

1.52
Bwin

Expert Track Record

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