Our Pick
Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils
#22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas
#51
Tournament: US Open Surface: Hard

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

1u
ML Arthur Fils

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.7% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.25 Avg. Odds
4,901 Verified Bets

Complete Analysis

  • Arthur Fils arrives here as the winner of the Cincinnati Masters 1000. On his way: Yannick Hanfmann, Jiri Lehecka, Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-4, Thiago Tirante, Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4, and Frances Tiafoe in the final. First Frenchman titled there since Guy Forget in 1991.
  • On the other hand, Stefanos Tsitsipas is 4-4 on hard courts this season, and he just lost to Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 7-6(1) in Winston-Salem.
  • His one-handed backhand suffers on the high and fast balls of the American hard courts, which is historically his worst Grand Slam surface, and Fils hits flat and early.
  • On the other side, Rafael Jodar, it's the best summer of all the players in this draw. Finalist in Washington, semifinalist in Montreal with Arthur Fils eliminated in the quarterfinals 7-6 6-3, 4th round in Cincinnati with Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in his wake, the latter 6-2 6-1.
  • Thanasi Kokkinakis, on the other hand, has only won one match since July, and he retired against Alexei Popyrin in Montreal.
  • He has the serve to bother anyone for an hour, but his body can no longer handle the long formats, and three winning sets is the worst format possible for him.
  • Finally, Frances Tiafoe. Finalist in Cincinnati, with Lorenzo Sonego, Learner Tien, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima beaten along the way. It's his best tennis of the season, and it's his tournament, where he's played 2 semifinals.
  • But beware of Martin Damm. The 6'7" American lefty beat Daniil Medvedev 7-5 6-3 last Tuesday, the first win of his career against a top 10, dropping only 5 points behind his first serve.
  • He can steal a set from anyone. Stealing three, that's another story.
  • In the end, I can't imagine any of these 3 men losing in the early rounds of the tournament, I'm going in here without any regrets.

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