Tennis Prediction Arthur Fils vs Mariano Navone: Montreal

🇨🇦 Montreal

• Arthur Fils is logically the favourite here, but I find the line a bit too low.

• The Frenchman remains obviously the best player on hard courts, there is really no debate about that.

• On the other hand, I still have some questions about the physical aspect. He experienced a real drop in form against Svajda in the 2nd set.

• He got out of it thanks to his talent, but I'm not convinced he's currently operating at 100% of his abilities.

• On the other side, Mariano Navone is coming in with a lot of confidence after two very nice wins against Matteo Berrettini and Valentin Vacherot. The Argentinian shows that he is capable of transposing his tennis to hard courts when he is confident.

• His profile is also far from ideal for Fils. Navone loves to prolong the rallies, he defends remarkably well and constantly forces his opponent to play one more shot.

• Even if Fils has more weapons to make the difference, I expect a more closely contested match than the odds suggest.

• I still see Arthur Fils winning, but Navone has the qualities to stay in touch and cover this +4.5 games. This is the value I'm keeping on this match.