🎾

In brief:

Cincinnati 🇺🇸

Faria ML1.680.75u
  • Two qualifiers in the round of 16 of a Masters, same number of wins this week: 4 all. Except you have to read the menus.
  • Walton's: Mejia, Buse, players outside the top 100. Faria's: Basilashvili, Wu, Brooksby, and last night Ben Shelton, the man who had just beaten Tiafoe, Nakashima, Mensik and Bergs. 6-4 6-4, without trembling, without a set lost this week.
  • The seasons tell the same gap. On the main tour in 2022: 26 wins for 11 losses on Faria's side, 15 for 17 on Walton's.
  • The Australian is an excellent Challenger player visiting the tour; the 23-year-old Portuguese is settling in, with scalps like Van de Zandschulp this summer.
  • No freshness advantage to look for, the two have the same mileage this week. The match will be decided on raw level, and the raw level has an owner.
  • The real danger, I name it because we've seen it twice this fortnight: the comedown. Faria is coming off the match of his life. Tirante after his scalp of Fritz, Vallejo after Vacherot: the day after exploits have mowed down nice stories here.
  • If the Portuguese wakes up again in his match from yesterday, Walton is exactly the kind of diligent player who takes advantage of it.
  • But between a player who beats a top 10 without losing a set and a player who hasn't faced a top 50 this week, the hierarchy of the evening is clear. I'm taking Faria, and I'm watching his start.«

⭐️ 6 other spots with written analysis are available in the PREMIUM PASS!

Our Pick
Francisco Faria
#2258
Adam Walton
Adam Walton
#96
Tournament: Cincinnati Surface: Hard

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.75u
ML Francisco Faria @ 1.68

Best Odds

1.68 Bwin

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.7% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.25 Avg. Odds
4,901 Verified Bets

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Match Result

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Pogz
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