Tennis Prediction Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz: US Open

🇺🇸 #USOpen

• On August 16 in Cincinnati, Jaime Faria beat Ben Shelton 6-4 6-4. Two sets, and he managed to break the American's serve twice.

• And if Faria was able to do it against Shelton, then he will be able to do it against Carlos Alcaraz in the recovery phase.

• This year, the Portuguese breaks very often and very quickly: since May 1st, his matches contain a minimum of 1.11 breaks per set.

• Van de Zandschulp, Basilashvili, Yibing Wu, Stan Wawrinka: each time a minimum of two breaks, each time in two sets.

• On the other hand, Alcaraz has played only one match since April. One. He is coming back from a tenosynovitis in the wrist that cost him the French Open, the grass and Wimbledon.

• He comes out of a 3-set victory against Safiullin, where he conceded 6 break points, and lost his serve once (and the Russian could have done much better).

• I expect to see the Portuguese aggressive and especially relaxed in this underdog position, which could offer us a messy match with multiple breaks.

• Finally, the EdgeLab 'breaks' matrix agrees with my analysis, and expects an average of 8.3 breaks in this duel, a story to follow.

YOU CAN FIND THE MATCH ANALYSIS FOR FREE ON

👉 https://edge-lab.io/fr/match/jaime-faria-vs-carlos-alcaraz-us-open-2026