Jaime Faria Prediction: US Open

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• On August 16 in Cincinnati, Jaime Faria beat Ben Shelton 6-4 6-4. Two sets, and he managed to break the American's serve twice.

• And if Faria was able to do it against Shelton, then he will be able to do it against Carlos Alcaraz in the early stages.

• This year, the Portuguese breaks very often and very quickly: since May 1st, his matches contain at least 1.11 breaks per set.

• Van de Zandschulp, Basilashvili, Yibing Wu, Stan Wawrinka: at least two breaks each time, each time in two sets.

• On the other hand, Alcaraz has played only one match since April. One. He is coming back from tenosynovitis in the wrist that cost him the French Open, grass, and Wimbledon.

• He comes off a 3-set win over Safiullin, where he conceded 6 break points, and had his serve broken once (and the Russian could have done much better).

• I expect to see the Portuguese aggressive and especially relaxed in this underdog position, which could give us a messy match with multiple breaks.