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In brief:

Draper 2-01.640.5u
Searle x 🇬🇧 Draper1.521u
  • Even if Pinnington Jones is having a great week and fully enjoying playing at home, I have trouble seeing him keep up with Draper's pace over the course of a best-of-three match.
  • This is partly because the average level between the two players remains very different.
  • Pinnington Jones continues to progress and has nice qualities on grass, but we're still talking about a player who mainly competes on the Challenger circuit and is gradually discovering this type of event.
  • On the other hand, Draper remains a player whose ceiling is much higher when he's healthy.
  • His return to competition after several weeks off was rather reassuring.
  • He won against Marcos Giron in his first match under Andy Murray's guidance and showed good things despite an obvious lack of match rhythm.
  • What I like most about this matchup is the advantage Draper should have in the key areas of the grass court game.
  • His left-handed serve is a major weapon on this surface.
  • Behind that, his forehand often allows him to immediately take control of the rally with his famous serve+1 pattern.
  • And against a player like Pinnington Jones, I think he'll regularly have the opportunity to dictate the points.
  • I also like the fact that he's already played a match this week.
  • After several months disrupted by injuries, he mainly needed to regain playing time and competitive references.
  • This first victory should allow him to approach this round of 16 with more confidence.
  • On the other hand, Pinnington Jones had to fight harder to reach this stage and remains a player who can go through more difficult spells against big servers.
  • Of course, the 100% British context could make the match more contested than expected.
  • And I wouldn't be surprised to see Pinnington Jones hold his serve for a good part of the match.
  • But in the long run, I have trouble seeing the young Briton compete in the rallies against a Draper who is gradually regaining his level.
  • If the favorite maintains the serving quality he showed against Giron and continues to physically improve, he should have the weapons to control the match.
  • A score like 7-6 6-4 or 6-4 6-4 seems quite credible.
Jack Draper
Jack Draper
#145
Jack Pinnington Jones
Jack Pinnington Jones
#170
Tournament: Wimbledon Surface: Grass

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.5u
HC Jack Draper -1.5 (sets) @ 1.64

Best Odds

1.64 Bwin

Expert Track Record

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