Our Pick
Jack Draper
Jack Draper
#147
Terence Atmane
Terence Atmane
#56
Tournament: Montreal Surface: Hard

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

1.5u
ML Jack Draper @ 1.71
HC Jack Draper +1.5 (sets) @ 1.71

Best Odds

1.71 Bwin

Verified Track Record

Verified on Bankrolly
+2.7% ROI / Yield
55% Win Rate
2.25 Avg. Odds
4,901 Verified Bets

Complete Analysis

Draper S1 & ML1.710.75u
  • The markets continue to give credit to Jack Draper since Saturday, quote after quote: a few hours before the match, his odds have dropped from 1.57 to less than 1.40. A player absent for 40 days that the market continues to buy, this is information.
  • The reason is his real level. In March, he was defending his title at Indian Wells and he beat Novak Djokovic in three sets along the way. A year ago, this man was world No. 4.
  • Since then, his left arm has decided otherwise: the 3 Grand Slams of the season missed, a withdrawal from Washington last week, and no match since Eastbourne at the end of June. As a result, he is now ranked 143rd in the world.
  • 40 days without competition, this is the real risk of this ticket, let's write it in black and white. A sluggish start can cost the first set, and with it half the bet.
  • Except that in front, the draw is the one we would choose for a comeback. Terence Atmane is coming off a good week in Washington, with the scalp of Frances Tiafoe, and a lot of respect for that. But his season shows 13 wins for 21 losses, and all his tennis goes through his serve.
  • His return, on the other hand, hardly weighs. To make a player who is returning pay for the rust, you have to attack his serves from the start, and this is precisely what Atmane does not do. Draper will have time to adjust his serve, while his return, one of the best on the circuit, will work on the Frenchman's.
  • I see Draper take this match from the start and not let go. Most often in two sets, and if a set has to slip away, I see it later in the match than at the start. This is exactly the scenario that this ticket pays.

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Pogz is a professional tennis tipster sharing daily picks, analysis and results with a community of bettors.

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