Combined Odds 1.84
Total Stake 0.75u
Confidence 70%
Leg 1 Cincinnati · Round 1 · Hard
Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe
vs
Learner Tien Learner Tien
Pick Frances Tiafoe +1.5 sets
Leg 2 Cincinnati · Round 1 · Hard
Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz
vs
Pick Taylor Fritz to win

Premium Analysis

🇺🇸 Tiafoe +1.5 sets vs 🇺🇸 Fritz · 1.84 odds | 0.75 units

  • On Sunday, I played Tiafoe's hand. Operated on a cyst 9 days earlier, without a warm-up match, against an opponent who bothers him: the file said it wouldn't hold.
  • It held. 6-3 6-4 against Sonego, intact serve, zero sets lost. When the court responds, we change sides, and today I'm playing with that hand.
  • What we're asking of him tonight is modest: one set against Learner Tien. Yet in their two clashes, Tiafoe has won a set each time, and in Delray Beach in February he lost the match 7-5 in the third, just two points away.
  • Add that this tournament is his: a final in 2024, a quarter in 2025, 6 wins in his last 7 matches in Cincinnati.
  • The respect for Tien is complete, his August has been monstrous, Paul swept 6-3 6-2 along the way. That's exactly why the leg stops at one set: against this Tien, we don't promise the match, we promise that Tiafoe will exist. He has always existed against him.
  • On the other side, Taylor Fritz. Merida brings out the CV of the month, Humbert, Michelsen, Griekspoor, Cilic, Bergs, but he'll play his sixth match in eight days, and none of his victims served like Fritz.
  • The returners' streaks stop against elite servers, we saw that again on Sunday.