Combined Odds 2.41
Total Stake 0.50u
Confidence 70%
🎾

In short

The #USOpen 🇺🇸

🇫🇷🇳🇱 Over 3.5 sets Gea vs Van de Zandschulp x 🇺🇸 Tiafoe · 2.41 | 0.5

  • This section of the draw has been completely crazy since the start of the tournament: Arthur Gea has played 2 matches in 5 sets, Botic Van de Zandschulp has played one.
  • Learner Tien too. Alexander Zverev has played 2, in his first two rounds. In this bottom of the draw, no one finishes quickly.
  • And the first spot comes from there: Gea has not played a single 'short' match in this tournament. Juan Manuel Cerundolo in 5 sets, Zachary Svajda in 4, Michael Zheng in 5.
  • 3 matches, 3 times beyond 3 sets, and 2 times being down 2 sets to 1 and over his whole Grand Slam season, 4 of his 6 matches have gone beyond 3 sets.
  • On the other hand, Van de Zandschulp is a player who is also used to long matches this season: a tiebreaker in 13 of his last 20 matches. And he's coming off a 5-setter against Zizou Bergs.
  • I would be very surprised to see a one-sided match one way or the other here, especially when you see the level of play of the 2 players since the beginning of the week.
  • Regarding Frances Tiafoe, he has beaten Alex Michelsen 2 times out of 2 in his career, in Dallas (7-5 6-1) and in Houston (6-4 6-3), never letting him take a set.
  • He just eliminated Daniil Medvedev in 3 sets and, above all, he knows this tournament perfectly since he has already played two semi-finals here.
  • Beware, however, Michelsen has not lost a single set in the fortnight. 12 out of 12, with Brandon Nakashima beaten 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry in 3 sets on Thursday.
  • And he arrives with 117 games in his legs when Tiafoe has 146 but I have the feeling that Tiafoe has been playing the tennis of his life for a few weeks, he knows perfectly how to play with the public, and remains the most experienced of the 2 players here.
  • I'm expecting a long and contested match here too, but Frances remains, for me, the most solid in these conditions.
Leg 1 US Open · Round 1 · Hard
Arthur Gea Arthur Gea
vs
Botic Van De Zandschulp Botic Van De Zandschulp
Pick OVER 3.5 games
Leg 2 US Open · Round 1 · Hard
Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe
vs
Pick Frances Tiafoe to win