Tennis Parlay Arthur Fils + Jessica Pegula: Montreal, Toronto

🇫🇷 **Fils ML x 🇺🇸 Pegula ML · 1.95 | 0.65u

• I'll start with what could kill this ticket, which is the least I can do. A still hot Cameron Norrie after his exploit against De Minaur, or a Diana Shnaider finally playing the perfect match against her nemesis. Neither of these scenarios is absurd. There, I said it.

• Now, why I'm still taking it. Arthur Fils first: he's fresh, he served at 91% of points won behind his first serve on Thursday, and he's facing an opponent who will play his 8th match in 13 days tonight. Norrie is 30, he's left 73 games on the court in three days, and those bills are rarely paid the same evening as the exploit. They're paid the match after.

• Jessica Pegula next, and here the file is of rare cleanliness: 4 wins in 4 confrontations against Shnaider. On hard court, the Russian has never taken a set from her. The last lesson was 8 days ago in Washington, and here in 2024 it was already settled in two sets.

• Add the American's season, her best career: 40 wins, world #3, and a return game that suffocates exactly the kind of serve that Shnaider offers.

• A word on the price, because a combo is judged first on that: at these odds, the ticket pays more than the two bets placed separately. This is the condition for me to group them, otherwise the grouping is just a gift to the book.

• Two logical favorites don't make a certainty, they make a 50/50 ticket paid correctly. I'm playing it for what it is.