Tennis Prediction Flavio Cobolli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Roland Garros

🇫🇷 #RolandGarros

• One of these two players will reach the semi-finals of Roland-Garros for the first time in their career.

• And honestly, I have a hard time imagining either one managing to get through this match in a straight three sets.

• The closer the goal gets, the more the pressure builds, and these are precisely two players who have shown several signs of mental fragility during this fortnight.

• I even get the impression that as they get closer to their dream, they become more and more tense on the court.

• This is exactly the kind of context that often produces very disjointed matches with several changes in momentum.

• If we look at the statistics of the two players since the start of the tournament:

🇮🇹 Flavio Cobolli

• 9h37 spent on the courts
• 78% of points won behind his first serve
• 59% of points won behind his second serve
• 4.8 break points faced per match

🇨🇦 Félix Auger-Aliassime

• 13h14 spent on the courts
• 78% of points won behind his first serve
• 48% of points won behind his second serve
• 8.1 break points faced per match

• When we look at the numbers, the average level of the two players is ultimately very close since the start of the tournament.

• But if I had to give a slight advantage to one of the two, it would be to Flavio Cobolli, I consider him a more natural player on clay.

• He is more comfortable in long rallies, more used to building points on this surface, and his game seems better suited to clay court conditions.

• On the other hand, Félix has very serious arguments, his serve remains a major weapon, and the more closed conditions with the roof could clearly help him.

• We sometimes approach an almost indoor tennis, which further favors his commitment and his first strike.

• We must not forget either that the Canadian has more experience in this type of event.

• He has already played in two Grand Slam semi-finals, which is not the case for Cobolli, but precisely, the Italian has recently shown that the pressure is starting to weigh on him.

• His match against Svajda was anything but a walk in the park, and his statement after the match: 'I almost shit myself' quite well sums up the emotional state he is currently in.

• This shows how much the nerves are present at this stage of the tournament, and I have the impression that it will be exactly the same on both sides today.

• I can hardly see a player remain mentally solid for three consecutive sets in a match with such a stake.

• I rather expect to see several shifts, moments of doubt, breaks immediately returned, and passages where each will take control before losing it again.

• That's why the over 3.5 sets seems to me to be the best angle.