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In brief:

Genève 🇨🇭

Butvilas S12.650.25u
Butvilas ML3.250.25u
Butvilas +3.5 games (HDP)1.900.5u
  • Butvilas is simply playing the tennis of his life this week in Switzerland.
  • The Lithuanian has won 3 matches in a row without conceding a single set, and the content is becoming more and more impressive as the matches go on.
  • His victory against Lorenzo Sonego in the first round was huge: 6-3 6-1 with over 76% of points won behind his first serve.
  • And beyond the score, he totally dominated the Italian in all aspects of the game. We feel a player with total confidence, who takes the ball early, serves extremely well and above all plays freely.
  • And honestly, I think he can become a real danger for Bublik today, especially in this very particular context just before Roland-Garros.
  • Because we must not forget one thing: Bublik is defending a quarter-final in Paris.
  • And even if the Kazakh remains the obvious favorite on paper, I wouldn't be surprised to see him a little less intense or focused a few days before a huge event for him, especially against a player who is coming in with so much rhythm and confidence.
  • So yes, Bublik normally remains better in these altitude conditions.
  • His serve, his ability to shorten the rallies and his natural talent give him a huge theoretical advantage.
  • But precisely, Butvilas' current style of play can totally bother him: he plays quickly, he gains confidence very quickly, he serves very well and he imposes a lot of intensity from the start of the matches.
  • This is exactly the kind of profile capable of making Bublik play poorly when he is not fully focused.
  • That's why I particularly like the S1 here. With the current rhythm of the Lithuanian and the possibility of a Bublik a little more in management at the beginning of the match, there is clearly a window to quickly surprise the Kazakh.
Our Pick
Edas Butvilas
Edas Butvilas
#228
Alexander Bublik
Alexander Bublik
#11
Tournament: Geneve Surface: Clay

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

1u
ML Edas Butvilas @ 3.25
HC Edas Butvilas +3.5 (games) @ 1.9
Set 1 Games @ 2.65

Best Odds

3.25 Bwin

Expert Track Record

Bet-Analytix

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