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In brief:

Mallorca 🇪🇸

Borges1.720.75u
  • Even though Adrian has been playing very well on grass so far, I tend to give the advantage to the Portuguese in this matchup.
  • First of all, because the head-to-head is telling.
  • Nuno Borges leads 2-0 against the Frenchman and has won their two meetings on the main tour.
  • But beyond the simple H2H, it's especially Borges' playing style that I really like against Mannarino.
  • Unlike many players who tend to get annoyed by the very flat trajectories and low-bouncing balls of the Frenchman, Borges remains extremely disciplined from the back of the court.
  • He's willing to construct the points, he moves well forward, and above all, he has an excellent quality of forehand shots to attack the short balls.
  • This is exactly the kind of profile that can neutralize some of Mannarino's variations.
  • Adrian is obviously coming off a very good sequence on grass.
  • His victory against Jakub Mensik at Queen's reminded everyone how dangerous he can be on this surface.
  • His flat game, his grass court reading, and his ability to make his opponents play poorly are still among the best on the tour.
  • But I still have the impression that Borges has the weapons to not fall into this trap.
  • The Portuguese is a very clean player technically, he makes few unforced errors, serves quite well, and above all, he doesn't rush when he faces atypical profiles.
  • This is often what makes the difference against Mannarino.
  • Many players want to finish the points too quickly and end up getting annoyed.
  • Borges, on the other hand, is willing to play one more ball.
  • I also like his profile on grass, we're not necessarily talking about a surface specialist, but his serve, his quality of movement, and his relatively complete game allow him to adapt very well to these conditions.
  • And above all, he has already proven in the past that he knew how to find the solutions against the Frenchman.
  • The 2-0 H2H is probably not a coincidence.
  • I have a lot of respect for what Mannarino has been doing since the start of the grass court swing.
  • But stylistically, Borges seems to me to be one of the best-equipped players to counter him.
  • He has more power from the baseline, a better ability to finish the points when he gets a short ball, and enough patience not to fall into the false rhythm imposed by the Frenchman.

✅✅✅

Our Pick
Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges
#52
Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino
#49
Tournament: Mallorca Surface: Grass

Our Bet

Confidence Level

70%
Good Confidence

Bet Details

0.75u
ML Nuno Borges @ 1.72

Best Odds

1.72 Bwin

Expert Track Record

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