Tennis Prediction Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baez: Montreal

🇨🇦 Montreal

• Sebastian Baez is a wall. All his tennis consists of returning one more ball than his opponent, and on clay this has built him a career. The problem is that a wall needs to be protected, and his serve is one of the weakest in this draw.

• On hard court, this weakness is no longer hidden behind anything. Every service game becomes a game to defend, and you have to go get a lot of return points to compensate for that over the course of a set.

• On the other hand, Zizou Bergs has the profile made to push exactly there. He serves much better, he returns well, and he has already solved this problem once: in Antwerp, on hard, he had settled the Argentinian in two sets without trembling.

• The Belgian has also proven this summer that he knows how to chain at a high level: 5 consecutive wins in Eastbourne to go and get the first ATP title of his career, with Ugo Humbert beaten 2 times in one week, on the tournament then in the wake at Wimbledon.

• My reserve, I give it frankly: hard is the surface where he is looking for himself this season, and his last match is a two-set defeat against Taylor Fritz in Washington. No one buys him in full confidence here, and I perfectly understand that we hesitate.

• But a match is played on a balance of power. On one side a player who holds his serve, on the other a player who has to save his at every turn. Over the long run, this gap always ends up showing. Bergs in two sets, or in three if the Argentinian manages to set up his rallies.

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