Tennis Prediction Terence Atmane vs Jaime Faria: Hangzhou

Hangzhou 🇨🇳

• I tend to trust Terence Atmane for his debut in Hangzhou, on a court he knows better than anyone else in this draw.

• On the other hand, Jaime Faria is arriving at the best moment of his career. World No. 68 since Monday, his highest ranking, and his season deserves it: he beat Ben Shelton 6-4 6-4 in Cincinnati when the American was World No. 6, and he took a set off Carlos Alcaraz at the US Open.

• But there is one line of his career that stands out. The Portuguese has never played a single official match in Asia. 199 matches since 2021, all in Europe and South America.

• He discovers the travel, the 7-hour time difference and the conditions of Hangzhou at the same time, with a seeded status to defend from his debut.

• Atmane, on the other hand, has played 55 matches of his career on the Asian continent, including 43 in China for 32 wins. Almost a quarter of his career.

• Last year in Beijing, he came through qualifying, eliminated Zhizhen Zhang, then took a set off Jannik Sinner by breaking him 3 times in the second set. 2h22 of battle against the World No. 2.

• The statistics of the season on hard courts also remain quite eloquent.

🇫🇷 Terence Atmane

• 8.1 aces per match
• 75% of points won behind his 1st serve
• 3.1 double faults per match
• 48% of break points converted

🇵🇹 Jaime Faria

• 7.6 aces per match
• 72% of points won behind his 1st serve
• 5.9 double faults per match
• 44% of break points converted

• Almost 3 double faults difference per match, it ends up showing. Against a left-hander who converts nearly one break point in two, every gift is paid for, and Terence could well take advantage of it in this matchup.

• Atmane has beaten Tiafoe, Khachanov, Draper, Auger-Aliassime and Dimitrov this season. His ranking doesn't tell the whole story of what he's capable of.

• I see him relying on his serve to make the sets last, and go for the break when the time difference catches up with the Portuguese. In two or three sets.