Analysis

Presentation of the Tournaments This Week

Presentation of the ATP 250 tournament in Chengdu: playing conditions, statistics, and past champions.

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Honestly, I think the fast conditions and high bounce of Chengdu should favor the big servers and players capable of taking the initiative in the rallies.

On paper, Alejandro Tabilo, the defending champion, and Juncheng Shang, the 2024 winner, seem well-equipped to shine in these conditions. But there is still a huge ‘but’: Tabilo has only played one match since September 2025 and seems to be struggling physically.

In terms of statistics, we note that players have won an average of 73.9% of points behind their first serve and 81.5% of their service games. With only 0.24 tiebreaks per set, it smells of serve-and-win all over.

I would therefore be very surprised not to see a big server win this week in Chengdu. But I refuse to believe that Tabilo, if he is in shape, cannot defend his title against the competition. Good matches to all ♥️

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Pogz is a professional tennis tipster sharing daily picks, analysis and results with a community of bettors.

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